Philadelphia Phillies
50% win
7
pred 4.1
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
50% win
0
pred 5
2025-05-07 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Johan Rojas UTIL 14.0 $3.2k 4.4
Trea Turner UTIL 21.0 $5.0k 4.2
Cristopher Sánchez UTIL 25.1 $7.5k 3.4
Taijuan Walker UTIL 20.2 $7.5k 2.7
Bryson Stott UTIL 12.0 $4.7k 2.6
Bryce Harper UTIL 11.0 $5.5k 2.0
Edwin Uceta UTIL 7.7 $4.0k 1.9
Alec Bohm UTIL 5.0 $3.0k 1.7
Garrett Cleavinger UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Cole Sulser UTIL 5.8 $4.0k 1.4
J.T. Realmuto UTIL 4.0 $3.7k 1.1
Kyle Schwarber UTIL 6.0 $5.7k 1.1
Yandy Díaz UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Max Kepler UTIL 3.0 $4.0k 0.8
Nick Castellanos UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Junior Caminero UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Danny Jansen UTIL 2.0 $2.9k 0.7
José Caballero UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Pete Fairbanks UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Christopher Morel UTIL 2.0 $4.1k 0.5
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 47%
+102 · $102 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+518 · $518 per $100
LOSS
PHI 50% 50% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.8% 21.2%
6.5 70.9% 29.1%
7.5 59.8% 40.2%
8.5 52.5% 47.5%
9.5 42.3% 57.7%
10.5 36.2% 63.8%
11.5 28.3% 71.7%
12.5 22.5% 77.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversPHI covers
TB -1.5 34.7% 37.1%
TB -2.5 24.1% 27.4%
TB -3.5 16.8% 19.4%
Team Totals
LineTBPHI
O 3.5 59.7% 60.0%
O 4.5 44.9% 45.8%
O 5.5 32.3% 34.2%
O 6.5 22.1% 25.6%
Odds
moneyline TB 50% · +102 · $102 per $100
BookPHIImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings -122 52.6% +102 47.4%
runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs TB 5.0 no bet
TB +1.5: TB 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs PHI 4.1 BET ✗
BookPHITB
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -102 U 8.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 12.0 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.1 —
Nick Castellanos RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.1 —
Max Kepler RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.5 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.3 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Johan Rojas CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cristopher Sánchez Starter 6.0 6.1 6.1 2.1 3.0 49% 100% 18.2 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.7 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.1 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.0 —
Christopher Morel CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 7.7 —
Danny Jansen C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
Curtis Mead 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
José Caballero SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.2 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.0 6.1 —
Chandler Simpson CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.8 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shane Baz Starter 5.9 5.8 5.5 2.3 3.0 47% 100% 14.6 —