Pittsburgh Pirates
51% win
1
pred 3.7
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
49% win
2
pred 4.1
2025-05-06 Busch Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Matthew Liberatore UTIL 30.2 $8.2k 3.7
Alec Burleson UTIL 9.0 $2.7k 3.3
Ke'Bryan Hayes UTIL 10.0 $3.5k 2.9
Willson Contreras UTIL 6.0 $3.2k 1.9
Paul Skenes UTIL 17.3 $10.0k 1.7
Oneil Cruz UTIL 9.0 $5.9k 1.5
Liover Peguero UTIL 3.0 $2.0k 1.5
Nolan Arenado UTIL 5.0 $3.8k 1.3
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 5.0 $4.4k 1.1
David Bednar UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Henry Davis UTIL 2.0 $2.2k 0.9
Dennis Santana UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Victor Scott II UTIL 3.0 $4.0k 0.8
Brendan Donovan UTIL 3.0 $4.4k 0.7
Jordan Walker UTIL 2.0 $3.1k 0.7
Steven Matz UTIL 3.7 $8.2k 0.5
Lars Nootbaar UTIL 2.0 $4.4k 0.5
Gordon Graceffo UTIL 2.3 $6.4k 0.4
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 53%
-122 · $82 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.8 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+457 · $457 per $100
LOSS
PIT 51% 49% STL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 77.6% 22.4%
6.5 70.5% 29.5%
7.5 59.4% 40.6%
8.5 50.3% 49.7%
9.5 38.9% 61.1%
10.5 31.7% 68.3%
11.5 23.7% 76.3%
12.5 19.3% 80.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineSTL coversPIT covers
STL -1.5 34.0% 37.0%
STL -2.5 23.0% 28.0%
STL -3.5 16.0% 19.7%
Team Totals
LineSTLPIT
O 3.5 56.5% 57.6%
O 4.5 41.6% 44.1%
O 5.5 29.4% 32.7%
O 6.5 20.9% 22.8%
Odds
moneyline PIT 51% · -122 · $82 per $100
BookPITImpl%STLImpl%
DraftKings -122 52.6% +102 47.4%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs STL 4.1 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs PIT 3.7 BET ✓
BookPITSTL
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -118 U 7.0 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.2 9.2 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Matt Gorski 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.6 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.6 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Henry Davis C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.3 —
Liover Peguero SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Paul Skenes Starter 6.0 5.8 5.8 1.9 2.9 48% 100% 18.0 —
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 8.4 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Masyn Winn SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.6 —
Yohel Pozo C 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.4 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matthew Liberatore Starter 6.5 6.1 6.2 2.2 3.0 48% 100% 15.0 —