Philadelphia Phillies
58% win
8
pred 3.9
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
42% win
4
pred 4.7
2025-05-06 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Nick Castellanos UTIL 30.0 $4.3k 7.0
Alec Bohm UTIL 19.0 $3.2k 5.9
Kyle Schwarber UTIL 31.0 $5.5k 5.6
Yandy Díaz UTIL 16.0 $3.6k 4.4
Trea Turner UTIL 18.0 $5.0k 3.6
Zack Wheeler UTIL 31.4 $9.7k 3.2
Bryce Harper UTIL 10.0 $5.4k 1.9
Brandon Marsh UTIL 5.0 $2.8k 1.8
Brandon Lowe UTIL 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Travis Jankowski UTIL 4.0 $2.3k 1.7
Jonathan Aranda UTIL 7.0 $4.2k 1.7
Ben Rortvedt UTIL 3.0 $2.0k 1.5
Eric Orze UTIL 5.3 $4.0k 1.3
Junior Caminero UTIL 5.0 $4.1k 1.2
Max Kepler UTIL 4.0 $4.0k 1.0
Kameron Misner UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Matt Strahm UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Chandler Simpson UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
J.T. Realmuto UTIL 2.0 $3.9k 0.5
Mason Montgomery UTIL 1.5 $4.0k 0.4
Drew Rasmussen UTIL 3.0 $8.3k 0.4
Orion Kerkering UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Best Bets
Philadelphia Phillies
ML ★ · +5.1% edge
-122 · $100 bet · $82 profit
Model: 58% vs Market: 53%
WIN
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 53%
-122 · $82 per $100
WIN
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+457 · $457 per $100
LOSS
PHI 58% 42% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 77.6% 22.4%
6.5 70.2% 29.8%
7.5 58.3% 41.7%
8.5 49.4% 50.6%
9.5 38.6% 61.4%
10.5 31.8% 68.2%
11.5 24.5% 75.5%
12.5 19.3% 80.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversPHI covers
TB -1.5 31.8% 41.6%
TB -2.5 21.7% 31.7%
TB -3.5 14.5% 22.9%
Team Totals
LineTBPHI
O 3.5 53.5% 61.7%
O 4.5 41.0% 47.4%
O 5.5 28.9% 35.4%
O 6.5 19.2% 24.4%
Odds
moneyline PHI 58% · -122 · $82 per $100
BookPHIImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings -122 52.6% +102 47.4%
runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs TB 4.7 no bet
TB +1.5: TB 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs PHI 3.9 BET ✗
BookPHITB
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -105 U 8.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 9.4 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.1 —
Nick Castellanos RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Brandon Marsh CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zack Wheeler Starter 6.3 6.7 6.0 2.0 3.0 51% 100% 23.5 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan Aranda 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 7.1 —
Junior Caminero 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.6 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.5 —
Chandler Simpson CF 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.0 6.0 —
Travis Jankowski RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.6 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.4 —
Ben Rortvedt C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Drew Rasmussen Starter 5.2 5.4 5.0 1.8 2.5 41% 100% 18.0 —