Pittsburgh Pirates
54% win
3
pred 4.2
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
46% win
6
pred 4.2
2025-05-05 Busch Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
José Barrero UTIL 23.0 $2.0k 11.5
Willson Contreras UTIL 19.0 $3.4k 5.6
Alec Burleson UTIL 14.0 $2.8k 5.0
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 16.0 $3.9k 4.1
Pedro Pagés UTIL 12.0 $3.0k 4.0
Adam Frazier UTIL 8.0 $3.2k 2.5
Enmanuel Valdez UTIL 8.0 $3.3k 2.4
Nolan Gorman UTIL 7.0 $3.4k 2.1
Joey Wentz UTIL 8.7 $5.0k 1.7
Oneil Cruz UTIL 10.0 $5.9k 1.7
Nolan Arenado UTIL 7.0 $4.2k 1.7
Joey Bart UTIL 6.0 $3.7k 1.6
Carmen Mlodzinski UTIL 7.5 $5.0k 1.5
Ryan Helsley UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Brendan Donovan UTIL 5.0 $4.5k 1.1
Gordon Graceffo UTIL 6.3 $6.2k 1.0
Kyle Leahy UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Phil Maton UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Jared Triolo UTIL 2.0 $2.3k 0.9
Victor Scott II UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Tommy Pham UTIL 2.0 $2.8k 0.7
Lars Nootbaar UTIL 2.0 $4.7k 0.4
Miles Mikolas UTIL 2.5 $6.2k 0.4
Caleb Ferguson UTIL 1.5 $4.0k 0.4
Ryan Borucki UTIL 0.9 $4.0k 0.2
Best Bets
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML ★★ · +9.3% edge
+114 · $200 bet · $228 profit
Model: 54% vs Market: 45%
LOSS
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 45%
+114 · $114 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 1.6 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+542 · $542 per $100
LOSS
PIT 54% 46% STL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.4% 16.6%
6.5 77.2% 22.8%
7.5 67.0% 33.0%
8.5 58.6% 41.4%
9.5 48.8% 51.2%
10.5 40.4% 59.6%
11.5 32.3% 67.7%
12.5 25.5% 74.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineSTL coversPIT covers
STL -1.5 35.4% 39.5%
STL -2.5 24.3% 30.7%
STL -3.5 17.2% 21.3%
Team Totals
LineSTLPIT
O 3.5 63.3% 65.7%
O 4.5 50.3% 53.7%
O 5.5 36.8% 40.6%
O 6.5 24.6% 30.6%
Odds
moneyline PIT 54% · +114 · $114 per $100
BookPITImpl%STLImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
STL -1.5: STL 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs PIT 4.2 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs STL 4.2 BET ✗
BookPITSTL
DraftKings +1.5 -175 -1.5 +145
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 10.2 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 7.2 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
Adam Frazier 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carmen Mlodzinski Starter 5.3 4.9 5.6 2.2 3.0 47% 100% 11.8 —
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.3 —
Alec Burleson 1B 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.6 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.5 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.9 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Nolan Gorman 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
José Barrero SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Miles Mikolas Starter 5.4 4.6 5.8 1.7 3.0 45% 100% 12.2 —