Tampa Bay Rays
44% win
3
pred 5.7
FINAL
New York Yankees
56% win
2
pred 4.1
2025-05-03 Yankee Stadium 0°F
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 64%
-198 · $51 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
RL · 3.2 off line
-120 · $83 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+427 · $427 per $100
LOSS
TB 44% 56% NYY
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.1% 14.9%
6.5 77.8% 22.2%
7.5 65.5% 34.5%
8.5 57.6% 42.4%
9.5 48.7% 51.3%
10.5 40.8% 59.2%
11.5 31.1% 68.9%
12.5 24.9% 75.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYY coversTB covers
NYY -1.5 42.0% 31.7%
NYY -2.5 30.7% 23.6%
NYY -3.5 22.3% 16.2%
Team Totals
LineNYYTB
O 3.5 67.3% 60.4%
O 4.5 53.9% 46.6%
O 5.5 41.4% 34.6%
O 6.5 31.0% 23.4%
Odds
moneyline NYY 56% · -198 · $51 per $100
BookTBImpl%NYYImpl%
DraftKings +164 36.3% -198 63.7%
runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -120 · $83 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs TB 5.7 no bet
TB +1.5: TB 5.7 + 1.5 = 7.2 vs NYY 4.1 BET ✓
BookTBNYY
DraftKings +1.5 -120 -1.5 +100
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -112 U 9.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.7 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.1 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.9 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Curtis Mead 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Danny Jansen C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.5 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.4 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 6.2 —
José Caballero SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zack Littell Starter 5.8 5.5 6.1 2.2 3.4 40% 100% 9.6 —
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.1 13.0 —
Ben Rice 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 12.5 —
Cody Bellinger LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 11.8 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.2 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.0 —
Austin Wells C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.8 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.2 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Jorbit Vivas 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan Yarbrough Starter 3.7 3.5 3.5 1.2 1.8 8% 100% 11.9 —