Tampa Bay Rays
36% win
0
pred 5
FINAL
New York Yankees
64% win
3
pred 3.5
2025-05-02 Yankee Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Paul Goldschmidt UTIL 21.0 $4.2k 5.0
Max Fried UTIL 29.4 $9.5k 3.1
Jorbit Vivas UTIL 6.0 $2.0k 3.0
Aaron Judge UTIL 15.0 $6.5k 2.3
Anthony Volpe UTIL 10.0 $4.4k 2.3
Luke Weaver UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
José Caballero UTIL 5.0 $3.7k 1.4
Manuel Rodríguez UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Devin Williams UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Ben Rice UTIL 5.0 $5.0k 1.0
Eric Orze UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Danny Jansen UTIL 2.0 $3.2k 0.6
Garrett Cleavinger UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Austin Wells UTIL 2.0 $3.7k 0.5
Yandy Díaz UTIL 2.0 $3.9k 0.5
Ryan Pepiot UTIL 3.6 $7.8k 0.5
Mason Montgomery UTIL 0.9 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 64% vs Mkt 69%
-250 · $40 per $100
WIN
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
RL · 3.0 off line
-102 · $98 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+429 · $429 per $100
LOSS
TB 36% 64% NYY
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.3% 17.7%
6.5 73.8% 26.2%
7.5 66.0% 34.0%
8.5 57.3% 42.7%
9.5 46.3% 53.7%
10.5 39.7% 60.3%
11.5 30.3% 69.7%
12.5 25.0% 75.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYY coversTB covers
NYY -1.5 41.1% 33.9%
NYY -2.5 30.0% 25.3%
NYY -3.5 21.1% 17.1%
Team Totals
LineNYYTB
O 3.5 65.5% 61.2%
O 4.5 51.2% 45.7%
O 5.5 38.7% 33.5%
O 6.5 27.0% 24.3%
Odds
moneyline NYY 64% · -250 · $40 per $100
BookTBImpl%NYYImpl%
DraftKings +205 31.5% -250 68.5%
runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -102 · $98 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs TB 5.0 no bet
TB +1.5: TB 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs NYY 3.5 BET ✗
BookTBNYY
DraftKings +1.5 -102 -1.5 -118
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -110 U 8.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Jonathan Aranda 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Junior Caminero 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.0 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Chandler Simpson CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Curtis Mead 1B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.4 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Danny Jansen C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.4 —
José Caballero SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan Pepiot Starter 6.2 6.5 5.7 2.6 3.5 43% 100% 14.2 —
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 12.9 —
Ben Rice 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 12.0 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.2 10.3 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.0 —
Cody Bellinger LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Jorbit Vivas 2B 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Max Fried Starter 6.3 6.3 6.2 2.3 3.2 52% 100% 18.8 —