Chicago Cubs
43% win
8
pred 4.6
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
57% win
3
pred 4
2025-05-01 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jared Triolo OF 7.2 $2.1k 3.4
Alexander Canario OF 7.4 $2.2k 3.4
Henry Davis OF 6.6 $2.2k 3.0
Nicky Lopez OF 5.8 $2.0k 2.9
Enmanuel Valdez OF 9.0 $3.2k 2.8
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 8.1 $3.5k 2.3
Colin Rea SP 14.2 $6.3k 2.3
Adam Frazier OF 6.7 $3.0k 2.2
Ian Happ OF 9.4 $4.3k 2.2
Miguel Amaya OF 6.8 $3.1k 2.2
Andrew McCutchen OF 8.6 $4.2k 2.1
Bryan Reynolds OF 8.1 $4.0k 2.0
Paul Skenes SP 18.7 $9.7k 1.9
Oneil Cruz OF 9.7 $5.8k 1.7
Nico Hoerner OF 7.0 $4.2k 1.7
Pete Crow-Armstrong OF 7.3 $4.6k 1.6
Michael Busch OF 7.8 $5.0k 1.6
Dansby Swanson OF 6.5 $4.2k 1.6
Seiya Suzuki OF 7.8 $5.3k 1.5
Kyle Tucker OF 8.6 $6.3k 1.4
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 57% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
Chicago Cubs +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
CHC 43% 57% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 75.1% 24.9%
6.5 68.3% 31.7%
7.5 58.6% 41.4%
8.5 49.8% 50.2%
9.5 40.1% 59.9%
10.5 32.2% 67.8%
11.5 24.4% 75.6%
12.5 19.1% 80.9%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversCHC covers
PIT -1.5 36.1% 38.1%
PIT -2.5 25.7% 27.0%
PIT -3.5 17.6% 18.5%
Team Totals
LinePITCHC
O 3.5 58.1% 55.5%
O 4.5 43.6% 43.5%
O 5.5 30.8% 33.2%
O 6.5 19.6% 25.1%
Odds
moneyline PIT 57% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookCHCImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs CHC 4.6 no bet
CHC +1.5: CHC 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs PIT 4.0 BET ✓
BookCHCPIT
DraftKings +1.5 -198 -1.5 +164
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -102 U 8.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ian Happ LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.3 9.4 —
Kyle Tucker RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Michael Busch 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 7.8 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.8 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.1 7.3 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.9 7.0 —
Miguel Amaya C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.8 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.5 —
Nicky Lopez 2B 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Colin Rea Starter 5.0 4.9 5.0 1.6 2.6 43% 100% 14.2 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.2 9.7 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.1 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Henry Davis C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Paul Skenes Starter 6.1 6.5 5.5 1.9 2.7 48% 100% 18.7 —