Chicago Cubs
54% win
3
pred 3.5
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
46% win
4
pred 4.7
2025-04-30 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jon Berti UTIL 9.0 $3.0k 3.0
Joey Bart UTIL 11.0 $3.9k 2.8
Dansby Swanson UTIL 11.0 $4.0k 2.8
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 11.0 $4.2k 2.6
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 10.0 $4.0k 2.5
Ian Happ UTIL 10.0 $4.3k 2.3
Ke'Bryan Hayes UTIL 8.0 $3.7k 2.2
Carmen Mlodzinski UTIL 8.8 $5.0k 1.8
Caleb Ferguson UTIL 7.0 $4.0k 1.8
Matthew Boyd UTIL 13.9 $8.4k 1.7
Oneil Cruz UTIL 9.0 $5.9k 1.5
Nico Hoerner UTIL 6.0 $4.0k 1.5
Matt Gorski UTIL 3.0 $2.0k 1.5
Chase Shugart UTIL 5.2 $4.0k 1.3
Brad Keller UTIL 4.4 $4.0k 1.1
Drew Pomeranz UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Jared Triolo UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Enmanuel Valdez UTIL 3.0 $3.2k 0.9
David Bednar UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Ryan Borucki UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Carson Kelly UTIL 3.0 $5.0k 0.6
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 2.0 $3.4k 0.6
Porter Hodge UTIL 2.2 $4.0k 0.5
Kyle Tucker UTIL 2.0 $6.2k 0.3
Predictions
Chicago Cubs
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 61%
-175 · $57 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-112 · $89 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Chicago Cubs ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+468 · $468 per $100
LOSS
CHC 54% 46% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.8% 17.2%
6.5 77.9% 22.1%
7.5 68.0% 32.0%
8.5 60.5% 39.5%
9.5 50.7% 49.3%
10.5 43.5% 56.5%
11.5 34.6% 65.4%
12.5 28.4% 71.6%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversCHC covers
PIT -1.5 29.1% 43.1%
PIT -2.5 18.7% 34.6%
PIT -3.5 12.0% 25.9%
Team Totals
LinePITCHC
O 3.5 61.4% 67.9%
O 4.5 46.8% 55.9%
O 5.5 33.9% 43.3%
O 6.5 22.7% 33.6%
Odds
moneyline CHC 54% · -175 · $57 per $100
BookCHCImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings -175 60.9% +145 39.1%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -112 · $89 per $100
CHC -1.5: CHC 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs PIT 4.7 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs CHC 3.5 BET ✓
BookCHCPIT
DraftKings -1.5 -108 +1.5 -112
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -120 U 8.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.8 10.7 —
Ian Happ LF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.5 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Michael Busch 1B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.2 —
Carson Kelly C 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 8.5 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 8.1 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Jon Berti 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matthew Boyd Starter 6.0 6.3 6.0 2.3 3.2 52% 100% 18.0 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.3 8.1 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.6 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.9 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 6.9 —
Matt Gorski 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carmen Mlodzinski Starter 5.3 4.9 5.7 2.4 3.2 40% 100% 10.9 —