Kansas City Royals
45% win
3
pred 4.8
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
55% win
1
pred 4.3
2025-04-29 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Freddy Fermin UTIL 11.0 $2.0k 5.5
Junior Caminero UTIL 22.0 $4.1k 5.4
Michael Lorenzen UTIL 19.9 $6.8k 2.9
Drew Waters UTIL 7.0 $2.4k 2.9
Yandy Díaz UTIL 10.0 $3.8k 2.6
Maikel Garcia UTIL 10.0 $4.0k 2.5
Jonathan India UTIL 7.0 $3.2k 2.2
Bobby Witt Jr. UTIL 10.0 $5.8k 1.7
Salvador Perez UTIL 7.0 $4.1k 1.7
Manuel Rodríguez UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Taj Bradley UTIL 11.0 $8.0k 1.4
Carlos Estévez UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Danny Jansen UTIL 3.0 $3.6k 0.8
Angel Zerpa UTIL 5.7 $6.8k 0.8
Kyle Isbel UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Lucas Erceg UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
José Caballero UTIL 3.0 $4.0k 0.8
Brandon Lowe UTIL 3.0 $4.4k 0.7
Kameron Misner UTIL 2.0 $4.2k 0.5
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+417 · $417 per $100
LOSS
KC 45% 55% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.9% 19.1%
6.5 75.5% 24.5%
7.5 65.1% 34.9%
8.5 57.6% 42.4%
9.5 46.4% 53.6%
10.5 38.4% 61.6%
11.5 30.0% 70.0%
12.5 25.3% 74.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversKC covers
TB -1.5 36.7% 34.9%
TB -2.5 25.8% 26.2%
TB -3.5 16.0% 18.3%
Team Totals
LineTBKC
O 3.5 62.9% 62.1%
O 4.5 47.8% 46.7%
O 5.5 35.8% 34.6%
O 6.5 23.8% 25.2%
Odds
moneyline TB 55% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookKCImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -155 · $65 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs KC 4.8 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs TB 4.3 BET ✓
BookKCTB
DraftKings +1.5 -155 -1.5 +130
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +102 U 9.0 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.2 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.5 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.1 —
Drew Waters RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.3 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael Lorenzen Starter 6.0 5.6 5.9 2.4 3.2 46% 100% 12.3 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan Aranda 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.8 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.2 —
Junior Caminero 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Chandler Simpson CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.3 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Ben Rortvedt C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.6 —
José Caballero SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Taj Bradley Starter 6.1 6.1 6.1 2.2 3.3 50% 100% 16.5 —