Pittsburgh Pirates
45% win
3
pred 4.5
FINAL
Los Angeles Angels
55% win
0
pred 4.3
2025-04-23 Angel Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Andrew Heaney UTIL 34.9 $8.1k 4.3
Adam Frazier UTIL 12.0 $3.1k 3.9
Oneil Cruz UTIL 22.0 $5.8k 3.8
Travis d'Arnaud UTIL 5.0 $2.9k 1.7
Tommy Pham UTIL 5.0 $3.0k 1.7
David Bednar UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Reid Detmers UTIL 11.3 $7.4k 1.5
Jack Kochanowicz UTIL 9.5 $6.3k 1.5
Jared Triolo UTIL 3.0 $2.0k 1.5
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 5.0 $3.5k 1.4
Ke'Bryan Hayes UTIL 5.0 $3.7k 1.4
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Jorge Soler UTIL 5.0 $4.3k 1.2
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 5.0 $4.5k 1.1
Dennis Santana UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Enmanuel Valdez UTIL 3.0 $3.3k 0.9
Joey Bart UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Caleb Ferguson UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Predictions
Los Angeles Angels
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 64%
-205 · $49 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 1.7 off line
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Los Angeles Angels ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+411 · $411 per $100
LOSS
PIT 45% 55% LAA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.6% 14.4%
6.5 78.1% 21.9%
7.5 68.3% 31.7%
8.5 60.2% 39.8%
9.5 48.3% 51.7%
10.5 38.8% 61.2%
11.5 30.2% 69.8%
12.5 25.5% 74.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineLAA coversPIT covers
LAA -1.5 28.9% 44.5%
LAA -2.5 20.7% 35.4%
LAA -3.5 15.3% 25.8%
Team Totals
LineLAAPIT
O 3.5 58.8% 69.4%
O 4.5 45.6% 57.6%
O 5.5 33.3% 44.0%
O 6.5 21.9% 32.1%
Odds
moneyline LAA 55% · -205 · $49 per $100
BookPITImpl%LAAImpl%
DraftKings +170 35.5% -205 64.5%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -125 · $80 per $100
LAA -1.5: LAA 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs PIT 4.5 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs LAA 4.3 BET ✓
BookPITLAA
DraftKings +1.5 -125 -1.5 +105
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -120 U 8.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 10.1 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.2 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 8.5 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.5 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.8 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.0 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.9 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.6 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Heaney Starter 6.3 6.4 5.8 2.2 3.2 55% 100% 15.5 —
Los Angeles Angels
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jorge Soler RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.2 9.5 —
Taylor Ward LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.3 —
Mike Trout RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Zach Neto SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Travis d'Arnaud C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.1 —
Jo Adell CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.8 —
Luis Rengifo 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Nolan Schanuel 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.8 —
Kyren Paris 2B 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jack Kochanowicz Starter 5.7 4.5 6.2 1.9 3.3 40% 100% 13.7 —