Tampa Bay Rays @ Arizona Diamondbacks — 2025-04-22 | AI Sports Metrics

62% win

1

pred 4.7

FINAL

Arizona Diamondbacks

38% win

5

pred 4.4

2025-04-22 Chase Field 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Pavin Smith	UTIL	25.0	$4.6k	5.4
Tim Tawa	UTIL	14.0	$2.7k	5.2
Chandler Simpson	UTIL	11.0	$3.0k	3.7
Jake Mangum	UTIL	12.0	$4.3k	2.8
Brandon Pfaadt	UTIL	22.5	$8.2k	2.7
Corbin Carroll	UTIL	11.0	$6.1k	1.8
Kameron Misner	UTIL	7.0	$4.2k	1.7
Josh Naylor	UTIL	8.0	$5.1k	1.6
Geraldo Perdomo	UTIL	7.0	$4.6k	1.5
Zack Littell	UTIL	7.3	$7.0k	1.0
Gabriel Moreno	UTIL	3.0	$2.9k	1.0
Jonathan Aranda	UTIL	4.0	$4.7k	0.9
Brandon Lowe	UTIL	3.0	$4.5k	0.7
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	UTIL	2.0	$4.1k	0.5
Eugenio Suárez	UTIL	2.0	$4.5k	0.4
Ryan Thompson	UTIL	1.7	$4.0k	0.4
Jalen Beeks	UTIL	1.1	$7.2k	0.2
Mason Englert	UTIL	0.1	$7.0k	0.0

Best Bets

Tampa Bay Rays

ML ★★★ ELITE · +12.1% edge

Model: 62% vs Market: 50%

LOSS

Predictions

Tampa Bay Rays

ML · Model 62%

LOSS

TB 62% 38% AZ

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	85.4%	14.6%
6.5	80.2%	19.8%
7.5	70.7%	29.3%
8.5	63.4%	36.6%
9.5	54.4%	45.6%
10.5	46.2%	53.8%
11.5	37.4%	62.6%
12.5	30.2%	69.8%

Run Line (margin)

Line	AZ covers	TB covers
AZ -1.5	35.6%	35.7%
AZ -2.5	26.6%	25.5%
AZ -3.5	19.8%	18.1%

Team Totals

Line	AZ	TB
O 3.5	69.0%	65.7%
O 4.5	55.7%	52.9%
O 5.5	42.9%	40.8%
O 6.5	30.5%	31.7%

Player Projections actual (projected)

Tampa Bay Rays

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jonathan Aranda	1B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.9	11.0	—
Brandon Lowe	2B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	9.5	—
Kameron Misner	LF	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.9	8.7	—
Yandy Díaz	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.7	—
Junior Caminero	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.7	—
Jake Mangum	LF	1.1	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.7	7.8	—
Chandler Simpson	CF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.1	—
Taylor Walls	SS	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.9	6.9	—
Ben Rortvedt	C	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	6.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Zack Littell	Starter	5.7	5.1	6.0	2.1	3.4	45%	100%	11.5	—

Arizona Diamondbacks

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Corbin Carroll	RF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.4	1.0	10.6	—
Josh Naylor	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	0.8	9.2	—
Pavin Smith	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.2	—
Eugenio Suárez	3B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.6	—
Geraldo Perdomo	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.8	8.4	—
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	LF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.8	8.1	—
Alek Thomas	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.8	7.9	—
Gabriel Moreno	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.9	—
Tim Tawa	2B	0.7	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.7	7.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Brandon Pfaadt	Starter	5.7	5.4	6.2	1.9	3.4	48%	100%	14.3	—