New York Yankees
57% win
4
pred 3.5
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
43% win
0
pred 5.2
2025-04-20 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Cody Bellinger UTIL 21.0 $4.8k 4.4
Austin Wells UTIL 16.0 $4.0k 4.0
Trent Grisham UTIL 14.0 $3.8k 3.7
Chandler Simpson UTIL 8.0 $2.7k 3.0
Oswaldo Cabrera UTIL 7.0 $2.7k 2.6
Max Fried UTIL 22.3 $9.7k 2.3
Ryan Pepiot UTIL 17.3 $7.6k 2.3
Eric Orze UTIL 7.3 $4.0k 1.8
Paul Goldschmidt UTIL 8.0 $4.5k 1.8
Anthony Volpe UTIL 8.0 $4.6k 1.7
Jonathan Aranda UTIL 4.0 $4.5k 0.9
Fernando Cruz UTIL 3.2 $4.0k 0.8
Jake Mangum UTIL 3.0 $4.3k 0.7
Jasson Domínguez UTIL 3.0 $4.4k 0.7
Curtis Mead UTIL 2.0 $3.0k 0.7
Danny Jansen UTIL 2.0 $3.3k 0.6
Yandy Díaz UTIL 2.0 $4.2k 0.5
Christopher Morel UTIL 2.0 $4.2k 0.5
Aaron Judge UTIL 3.0 $6.5k 0.5
Garrett Cleavinger UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 57% vs Mkt 59%
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
RL · 3.2 off line
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+456 · $456 per $100
LOSS
NYY 57% 43% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.8% 17.2%
6.5 75.7% 24.3%
7.5 65.3% 34.7%
8.5 56.6% 43.4%
9.5 46.0% 54.0%
10.5 38.1% 61.9%
11.5 30.5% 69.5%
12.5 22.8% 77.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversNYY covers
TB -1.5 30.3% 45.6%
TB -2.5 20.9% 34.5%
TB -3.5 15.1% 25.0%
Team Totals
LineTBNYY
O 3.5 54.9% 66.5%
O 4.5 41.2% 54.3%
O 5.5 29.7% 41.3%
O 6.5 22.0% 31.2%
Odds
moneyline NYY 57% · -162 · $62 per $100
BookNYYImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings -162 59.3% +136 40.7%
runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -125 · $80 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs TB 5.2 no bet
TB +1.5: TB 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs NYY 3.5 BET ✗
BookNYYTB
DraftKings -1.5 +105 +1.5 -125
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -108 U 8.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.0 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 10.2 —
Cody Bellinger LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.7 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.1 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.6 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Max Fried Starter 6.3 6.5 6.2 2.0 3.1 54% 100% 21.2 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Jonathan Aranda 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.2 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 6.7 —
Danny Jansen C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.3 —
Curtis Mead 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
José Caballero SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
Jake Mangum LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 5.6 —
Chandler Simpson CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 4.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan Pepiot Starter 6.2 6.9 5.9 2.6 3.5 42% 100% 16.8 —