Cleveland Guardians
51% win
5
pred 4
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
49% win
4
pred 4.3
2025-04-20 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Adam Frazier UTIL 16.0 $3.2k 5.0
Kyle Manzardo UTIL 21.0 $4.6k 4.6
Steven Kwan UTIL 18.0 $5.1k 3.5
Tommy Pham UTIL 10.0 $3.1k 3.2
Logan Allen UTIL 17.2 $5.6k 3.1
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 11.0 $4.5k 2.4
José Ramírez UTIL 12.0 $5.6k 2.1
Chase Shugart UTIL 8.5 $4.0k 2.1
Ke'Bryan Hayes UTIL 8.0 $3.8k 2.1
Brayan Rocchio UTIL 5.0 $2.6k 1.9
Joey Bart UTIL 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 7.0 $4.0k 1.8
Gabriel Arias UTIL 5.0 $3.5k 1.4
Enmanuel Valdez UTIL 4.0 $3.1k 1.3
Hunter Gaddis UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Mitch Keller UTIL 9.1 $7.9k 1.2
Nolan Jones UTIL 3.0 $3.1k 1.0
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 3.0 $3.3k 0.9
Angel Martínez UTIL 3.0 $3.4k 0.9
Jhonkensy Noel UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Paul Sewald UTIL 2.8 $4.0k 0.7
Dennis Santana UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Jakob Junis UTIL 4.3 $7.9k 0.5
Carlos Santana UTIL 2.0 $4.2k 0.5
Justin Lawrence UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Joey Cantillo UTIL 1.7 $7.9k 0.2
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 48%
+100 · $100 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+475 · $475 per $100
WIN
CLE 51% 49% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.9% 18.1%
6.5 75.8% 24.2%
7.5 66.4% 33.6%
8.5 57.5% 42.5%
9.5 47.8% 52.2%
10.5 40.2% 59.8%
11.5 29.9% 70.1%
12.5 23.6% 76.4%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversCLE covers
PIT -1.5 30.7% 42.7%
PIT -2.5 21.9% 31.4%
PIT -3.5 15.0% 23.0%
Team Totals
LinePITCLE
O 3.5 59.5% 67.2%
O 4.5 46.7% 53.5%
O 5.5 35.5% 41.0%
O 6.5 24.2% 30.7%
Odds
moneyline CLE 51% · +100 · $100 per $100
BookCLEImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs PIT 4.3 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs CLE 4.0 BET ✓
BookCLEPIT
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -112 U 8.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.7 9.5 —
Nolan Jones 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.3 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.6 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 8.4 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
Angel Martínez CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Austin Hedges C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Logan Allen Starter 5.6 5.2 5.3 2.4 2.9 50% 100% 13.1 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.3 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.3 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.2 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitch Keller Starter 6.1 5.6 6.3 2.5 3.4 43% 100% 14.0 —