New York Yankees
44% win
8
pred 4.3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
56% win
10
pred 4.7
2025-04-19 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ben Rortvedt OF 6.3 $2.2k 2.9
Chandler Simpson OF 7.4 $2.7k 2.7
Ben Rice OF 11.0 $4.3k 2.6
Carlos Carrasco SP 13.2 $5.8k 2.3
Jonathan Aranda OF 10.0 $4.4k 2.3
Shane Baz SP 18.6 $8.5k 2.2
Yandy Díaz OF 9.0 $4.2k 2.2
Kameron Misner OF 8.6 $4.0k 2.1
Oswaldo Cabrera OF 6.1 $2.9k 2.1
Trent Grisham OF 8.1 $3.9k 2.1
Austin Wells OF 8.3 $4.0k 2.1
Aaron Judge OF 12.8 $6.4k 2.0
Junior Caminero OF 9.1 $4.6k 2.0
Paul Goldschmidt OF 8.1 $4.5k 1.8
Brandon Lowe OF 8.8 $5.0k 1.8
Jake Mangum OF 7.4 $4.3k 1.7
José Caballero OF 6.5 $4.1k 1.6
Jazz Chisholm Jr. OF 8.7 $5.6k 1.6
Jasson Domínguez OF 6.7 $4.4k 1.5
Anthony Volpe OF 7.2 $4.8k 1.5
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
New York Yankees +1.5
RL · 1.1 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Tampa Bay Rays ML + New York Yankees +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+420 · $420 per $100
LOSS
NYY 44% 56% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.7% 15.3%
6.5 78.5% 21.5%
7.5 69.9% 30.1%
8.5 61.3% 38.7%
9.5 49.9% 50.1%
10.5 41.5% 58.5%
11.5 32.8% 67.2%
12.5 26.2% 73.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversNYY covers
TB -1.5 44.6% 27.7%
TB -2.5 32.2% 21.1%
TB -3.5 22.7% 14.9%
Team Totals
LineTBNYY
O 3.5 72.9% 58.5%
O 4.5 58.5% 45.2%
O 5.5 43.5% 35.1%
O 6.5 31.5% 25.0%
Odds
moneyline TB 56% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookNYYImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline New York Yankees +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs NYY 4.3 no bet
NYY +1.5: NYY 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs TB 4.7 BET ✗
BookNYYTB
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -112 U 9.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.2 12.8 —
Ben Rice 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.2 11.0 —
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.2 8.7 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.3 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.1 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.7 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Carrasco Starter 5.0 4.8 5.7 1.8 3.4 34% 100% 13.2 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan Aranda 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.0 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.1 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Kameron Misner LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
Chandler Simpson CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Jake Mangum LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.7 7.4 —
José Caballero SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Ben Rortvedt C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shane Baz Starter 5.8 6.6 5.0 2.2 2.8 56% 100% 18.6 —