Cleveland Guardians
54% win
10
pred 4.4
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
46% win
7
pred 4.7
2025-04-18 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jared Triolo OF 6.5 $2.1k 3.1
Enmanuel Valdez OF 8.8 $2.9k 3.0
Luis Ortiz SP 15.2 $5.0k 3.0
Bo Naylor OF 7.4 $2.8k 2.7
Jack Suwinski OF 7.8 $3.0k 2.6
Nolan Jones OF 7.8 $3.2k 2.5
Lane Thomas OF 8.7 $3.8k 2.3
Carmen Mlodzinski SP 12.3 $5.5k 2.2
Gabriel Arias OF 7.5 $3.4k 2.2
Angel Martínez OF 7.1 $3.4k 2.1
Carlos Santana OF 8.8 $4.3k 2.0
Joey Bart OF 7.9 $3.9k 2.0
Andrew McCutchen OF 8.1 $4.0k 2.0
Adam Frazier OF 6.2 $3.3k 1.9
Bryan Reynolds OF 8.5 $4.6k 1.9
Kyle Manzardo OF 8.6 $4.8k 1.8
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 5.5 $3.2k 1.7
Oneil Cruz OF 9.4 $5.5k 1.7
Steven Kwan OF 8.8 $5.2k 1.7
José Ramírez OF 9.4 $5.7k 1.6
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+456 · $456 per $100
LOSS
CLE 54% 46% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.9% 18.1%
6.5 75.5% 24.5%
7.5 64.4% 35.6%
8.5 57.2% 42.8%
9.5 46.4% 53.6%
10.5 37.7% 62.3%
11.5 30.5% 69.5%
12.5 23.5% 76.5%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversCLE covers
PIT -1.5 34.6% 38.5%
PIT -2.5 22.9% 28.6%
PIT -3.5 15.5% 21.0%
Team Totals
LinePITCLE
O 3.5 61.7% 65.0%
O 4.5 48.0% 48.4%
O 5.5 35.2% 37.3%
O 6.5 23.0% 26.9%
Odds
moneyline CLE 54% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookCLEImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings -130 54.3% +110 45.7%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -155 · $65 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs PIT 4.7 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs CLE 4.4 BET ✗
BookCLEPIT
DraftKings -1.5 +130 +1.5 -155
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -112 U 8.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.8 9.4 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.8 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.8 —
Lane Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.7 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 7.8 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Luis Ortiz Starter 5.9 5.7 5.8 2.4 3.2 49% 100% 15.2 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.1 9.4 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.1 —
Joey Bart C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Jack Suwinski LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.8 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.2 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carmen Mlodzinski Starter 5.4 5.2 5.5 2.4 2.9 44% 100% 12.3 —