Washington Nationals
37% win
0
pred 4.5
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
64% win
1
pred 3.9
2025-04-17 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Riley Adams OF 6.8 $2.3k 3.0
Enmanuel Valdez OF 8.3 $2.9k 2.9
Andrew Heaney SP 18.4 $7.6k 2.4
Nasim Nuñez OF 5.9 $2.5k 2.3
Tommy Pham OF 7.4 $3.3k 2.3
Trevor Williams SP 13.6 $6.3k 2.2
Dylan Crews OF 7.2 $3.4k 2.1
Jacob Young OF 6.3 $3.0k 2.1
Adam Frazier OF 6.6 $3.2k 2.1
Joey Bart OF 7.9 $3.9k 2.0
Andrew McCutchen OF 8.1 $4.0k 2.0
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 6.4 $3.2k 2.0
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 7.2 $3.7k 2.0
Bryan Reynolds OF 8.5 $4.4k 1.9
Alex Call OF 7.9 $4.2k 1.9
Nathaniel Lowe OF 7.2 $4.0k 1.8
Amed Rosario OF 7.7 $4.3k 1.8
Oneil Cruz OF 9.1 $5.5k 1.7
Luis García OF 5.5 $3.6k 1.5
James Wood OF 8.1 $5.4k 1.5
Best Bets
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML ★ · +6.3% edge
-148 · $100 bet · $68 profit
Model: 64% vs Market: 57%
WIN
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 64% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+393 · $393 per $100
LOSS
WSH 37% 64% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.6% 15.4%
6.5 77.4% 22.6%
7.5 68.3% 31.7%
8.5 60.2% 39.8%
9.5 49.1% 50.9%
10.5 42.7% 57.3%
11.5 33.1% 66.9%
12.5 26.7% 73.3%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversWSH covers
PIT -1.5 40.0% 30.1%
PIT -2.5 29.4% 21.7%
PIT -3.5 20.9% 16.0%
Team Totals
LinePITWSH
O 3.5 68.5% 60.3%
O 4.5 54.6% 47.4%
O 5.5 41.4% 36.4%
O 6.5 31.1% 25.5%
Odds
moneyline PIT 64% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookWSHImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs WSH 4.5 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs PIT 3.9 BET ✓
BookWSHPIT
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -118 U 7.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.2 8.1 —
Alex Call RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 7.9 —
Amed Rosario 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 7.7 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.2 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Riley Adams C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
Jacob Young CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.3 —
Nasim Nuñez SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 5.9 —
Luis García P 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Trevor Williams Starter 5.5 5.2 6.2 2.0 3.4 41% 100% 13.6 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.3 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Adam Frazier 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.6 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Heaney Starter 6.1 6.0 5.9 2.3 3.1 53% 100% 18.4 —