Washington Nationals
57% win
1
pred 3.8
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
43% win
6
pred 4.4
2025-04-16 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Henry Davis UTIL 16.0 $2.4k 6.7
Oneil Cruz UTIL 23.0 $5.3k 4.3
Bailey Falter UTIL 22.0 $6.7k 3.3
Enmanuel Valdez UTIL 7.0 $2.7k 2.6
Mitchell Parker UTIL 19.9 $7.9k 2.5
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 8.0 $3.2k 2.5
Jared Triolo UTIL 5.0 $2.1k 2.4
Adam Frazier UTIL 5.0 $2.8k 1.8
Dylan Crews UTIL 5.0 $3.2k 1.6
Luis García UTIL 4.0 $3.5k 1.1
Caleb Ferguson UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 4.0 $3.8k 1.1
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 4.0 $4.3k 0.9
Nathaniel Lowe UTIL 3.0 $3.6k 0.8
James Wood UTIL 3.0 $5.2k 0.6
Alex Call UTIL 2.0 $4.1k 0.5
Cole Henry UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Best Bets
Washington Nationals
ML ★ · +7.0% edge
-112 · $100 bet · $89 profit
Model: 57% vs Market: 50%
LOSS
Predictions
Washington Nationals
ML · Model 57% vs Mkt 50%
-112 · $89 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Washington Nationals ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+468 · $468 per $100
LOSS
WSH 57% 43% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.6% 14.4%
6.5 79.3% 20.7%
7.5 70.3% 29.7%
8.5 63.6% 36.4%
9.5 53.3% 46.7%
10.5 45.1% 54.9%
11.5 35.8% 64.2%
12.5 29.6% 70.4%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversWSH covers
PIT -1.5 29.3% 46.9%
PIT -2.5 19.9% 37.3%
PIT -3.5 14.1% 27.9%
Team Totals
LinePITWSH
O 3.5 59.5% 71.8%
O 4.5 47.7% 60.3%
O 5.5 35.6% 48.2%
O 6.5 24.9% 37.3%
Odds
moneyline WSH 57% · -112 · $89 per $100
BookWSHImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings -112 50.4% -108 49.6%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
WSH -1.5: WSH 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs PIT 4.4 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs WSH 3.8 BET ✓
BookWSHPIT
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -118 U 8.0 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Call RF 1.1 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.9 —
Keibert Ruiz C 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 9.0 —
James Wood LF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Josh Bell 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 8.6 —
Amed Rosario 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.5 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 8.5 —
Nasim Nuñez SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 6.7 —
Luis García P 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitchell Parker Starter 6.3 5.7 6.2 2.5 3.2 55% 100% 16.6 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 7.9 —
Oneil Cruz CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 7.5 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
Henry Davis C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.5 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bailey Falter Starter 5.2 4.5 5.9 2.2 3.4 38% 100% 11.7 —