Washington Nationals
42% win
3
pred 4.9
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
58% win
0
pred 3.8
2025-04-15 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Enmanuel Valdez OF 8.7 $2.7k 3.2
Henry Davis OF 6.9 $2.4k 2.9
Jack Suwinski OF 8.7 $3.1k 2.8
Nasim Nuñez OF 5.7 $2.1k 2.7
Paul DeJong OF 6.9 $2.6k 2.6
Adam Frazier OF 7.4 $2.9k 2.6
Tommy Pham OF 8.4 $3.3k 2.5
Josh Bell OF 7.8 $3.2k 2.4
Mitch Keller SP 19.2 $7.9k 2.4
Jacob Young OF 6.5 $2.7k 2.4
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 8.2 $3.5k 2.3
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 7.0 $3.2k 2.2
Nathaniel Lowe OF 7.9 $3.8k 2.1
Bryan Reynolds OF 8.8 $4.4k 2.0
Dylan Crews OF 6.6 $3.3k 2.0
Keibert Ruiz OF 8.1 $4.2k 1.9
Jake Irvin SP 12.6 $6.5k 1.9
Oneil Cruz OF 10.5 $5.5k 1.9
Luis García OF 5.8 $3.5k 1.7
James Wood OF 8.8 $5.4k 1.6
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+412 · $412 per $100
LOSS
WSH 42% 58% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 86.0% 14.0%
6.5 79.5% 20.5%
7.5 70.1% 29.9%
8.5 61.5% 38.5%
9.5 49.8% 50.2%
10.5 42.9% 57.1%
11.5 33.5% 66.5%
12.5 26.5% 73.5%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversWSH covers
PIT -1.5 34.9% 36.8%
PIT -2.5 26.2% 27.2%
PIT -3.5 18.8% 19.9%
Team Totals
LinePITWSH
O 3.5 65.5% 65.3%
O 4.5 54.2% 50.9%
O 5.5 38.8% 39.9%
O 6.5 27.4% 28.8%
Odds
moneyline PIT 58% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookWSHImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs WSH 4.9 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs PIT 3.8 BET ✓
BookWSHPIT
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.2 8.8 —
Keibert Ruiz C 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.1 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Josh Bell 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 7.8 —
Paul DeJong SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.9 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
Jacob Young CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 6.5 —
Luis García P 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.8 —
Nasim Nuñez SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.8 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jake Irvin Starter 5.8 5.4 5.8 2.3 3.3 45% 100% 12.6 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.1 10.5 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Jack Suwinski LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 8.7 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.4 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.4 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.0 —
Henry Davis C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitch Keller Starter 5.9 5.8 6.3 2.4 3.4 47% 100% 19.2 —