Boston Red Sox
39% win
1
pred 4.3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
61% win
16
pred 4.3
2025-04-14 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
David Hamilton OF 7.1 $2.1k 3.4
Jonathan Aranda OF 9.9 $3.8k 2.6
Carlos Narváez OF 7.3 $2.8k 2.6
Kameron Misner OF 8.3 $3.4k 2.4
Taylor Walls OF 6.7 $2.9k 2.3
Yandy Díaz OF 9.2 $4.0k 2.3
Shane Baz SP 19.1 $8.4k 2.3
Triston Casas OF 7.7 $3.5k 2.2
Danny Jansen OF 6.8 $3.3k 2.1
Junior Caminero OF 8.7 $4.5k 1.9
Rafael Devers OF 9.3 $4.9k 1.9
Wilyer Abreu OF 9.1 $4.8k 1.9
Brandon Lowe OF 9.2 $4.9k 1.9
Christopher Morel OF 7.6 $4.1k 1.9
Tanner Houck SP 13.0 $7.2k 1.8
Alex Bregman OF 9.0 $5.0k 1.8
Kristian Campbell OF 7.1 $4.0k 1.8
Trevor Story OF 7.1 $4.2k 1.7
Jake Mangum OF 6.8 $4.3k 1.6
Jarren Duran OF 8.3 $5.3k 1.6
Best Bets
Tampa Bay Rays
ML ★ · +6.3% edge
-130 · $100 bet · $77 profit
Model: 61% vs Market: 54%
WIN
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 61% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 1.5 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+414 · $414 per $100
LOSS
BOS 39% 61% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.3% 15.7%
6.5 75.0% 25.0%
7.5 66.7% 33.3%
8.5 57.7% 42.3%
9.5 48.8% 51.2%
10.5 41.8% 58.2%
11.5 31.9% 68.1%
12.5 26.2% 73.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversBOS covers
TB -1.5 37.5% 38.2%
TB -2.5 28.7% 28.6%
TB -3.5 20.3% 22.1%
Team Totals
LineTBBOS
O 3.5 62.2% 62.5%
O 4.5 50.2% 50.3%
O 5.5 39.4% 39.1%
O 6.5 26.8% 28.7%
Odds
moneyline TB 61% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookBOSImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs BOS 4.3 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs TB 4.3 BET ✗
BookBOSTB
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -120 U 8.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.3 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Alex Bregman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.2 8.3 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tanner Houck Starter 5.4 5.1 5.7 2.1 3.1 46% 100% 13.0 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan Aranda 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.9 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.2 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.2 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Kameron Misner LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.6 —
Jake Mangum LF 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 6.8 —
Danny Jansen C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.8 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shane Baz Starter 6.0 6.5 5.6 2.4 3.1 47% 100% 19.1 —