Pittsburgh Pirates
49% win
2
pred 4.6
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
51% win
5
pred 4.3
2025-04-12 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Alexander Canario UTIL 20.0 $2.1k 9.5
Elly De La Cruz UTIL 20.0 $5.8k 3.5
Andrew Abbott UTIL 20.9 $7.1k 2.9
Enmanuel Valdez UTIL 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Garrett Hampson UTIL 7.0 $2.6k 2.7
Santiago Espinal UTIL 7.0 $2.8k 2.5
Blake Dunn UTIL 6.0 $2.5k 2.4
Andrew Heaney UTIL 13.3 $6.6k 2.0
TJ Friedl UTIL 7.0 $4.0k 1.8
Noelvi Marte UTIL 5.0 $3.0k 1.7
Ian Gibaut UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Tim Mayza UTIL 5.2 $4.0k 1.3
Tony Santillan UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Gavin Lux UTIL 4.0 $3.5k 1.1
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 3.0 $3.7k 0.8
Endy Rodríguez UTIL 2.0 $2.7k 0.7
Jose Trevino UTIL 2.0 $2.9k 0.7
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 3.0 $4.5k 0.7
Emilio Pagán UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Jeimer Candelario UTIL 2.0 $3.9k 0.5
Scott Barlow UTIL 0.3 $4.0k 0.1
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+414 · $414 per $100
LOSS
PIT 49% 51% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 79.0% 21.0%
6.5 72.4% 27.6%
7.5 61.3% 38.7%
8.5 53.7% 46.3%
9.5 44.0% 56.0%
10.5 37.2% 62.8%
11.5 29.6% 70.4%
12.5 22.9% 77.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversPIT covers
CIN -1.5 31.2% 40.3%
CIN -2.5 20.6% 31.9%
CIN -3.5 13.4% 22.3%
Team Totals
LineCINPIT
O 3.5 56.4% 62.3%
O 4.5 43.4% 49.8%
O 5.5 31.6% 39.2%
O 6.5 21.4% 29.2%
Odds
moneyline CIN 51% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookPITImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs PIT 4.6 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs CIN 4.3 BET ✗
BookPITCIN
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.6 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.1 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Endy Rodríguez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Henry Davis C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Heaney Starter 6.3 6.4 5.9 2.1 3.1 50% 100% 15.1 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
TJ Friedl CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.2 8.4 —
Blake Dunn LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.3 7.9 —
Jeimer Candelario 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.7 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Jose Trevino C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Noelvi Marte OF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Abbott Starter 5.3 5.2 5.0 2.1 2.8 43% 100% 17.9 —