Atlanta Braves
44% win
5
pred 4.5
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
56% win
4
pred 3.7
2025-04-12 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ben Rortvedt OF 6.7 $2.2k 3.0
Kameron Misner OF 8.1 $2.9k 2.8
Jarred Kelenic OF 6.1 $2.3k 2.7
Jonathan Aranda OF 9.0 $3.7k 2.4
Drew Rasmussen SP 20.0 $8.4k 2.4
Bryan De La Cruz OF 6.1 $2.7k 2.3
Nick Allen OF 5.4 $2.4k 2.3
Yandy Díaz OF 8.9 $4.0k 2.2
Taylor Walls OF 6.3 $2.9k 2.2
Junior Caminero OF 8.6 $4.3k 2.0
Christopher Morel OF 7.6 $3.9k 1.9
Michael Harris II OF 7.8 $4.1k 1.9
Brandon Lowe OF 9.2 $5.0k 1.9
Sean Murphy OF 6.8 $3.7k 1.8
José Caballero OF 6.5 $3.6k 1.8
Austin Riley OF 7.8 $4.6k 1.7
Matt Olson OF 8.5 $5.0k 1.7
Ozzie Albies OF 7.1 $4.6k 1.5
Marcell Ozuna OF 7.3 $4.8k 1.5
AJ Smith-Shawver SP 12.0 $8.0k 1.5
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Atlanta Braves +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Atlanta Braves +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+428 · $428 per $100
LOSS
ATL 44% 56% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.0% 15.0%
6.5 78.6% 21.4%
7.5 69.2% 30.8%
8.5 61.8% 38.2%
9.5 50.2% 49.8%
10.5 43.6% 56.4%
11.5 34.9% 65.1%
12.5 27.5% 72.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversATL covers
TB -1.5 45.3% 28.9%
TB -2.5 33.9% 20.6%
TB -3.5 24.5% 13.9%
Team Totals
LineTBATL
O 3.5 70.2% 58.0%
O 4.5 58.1% 45.5%
O 5.5 44.3% 34.6%
O 6.5 33.5% 24.5%
Odds
moneyline TB 56% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookATLImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Atlanta Braves +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs ATL 4.5 no bet
ATL +1.5: ATL 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs TB 3.7 BET ✓
BookATLTB
DraftKings +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -120 U 8.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Olson 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.8 —
Michael Harris II CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.1 7.8 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Sean Murphy C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Jarred Kelenic LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.1 —
Bryan De La Cruz OF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.1 —
Nick Allen SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
AJ Smith-Shawver Starter 5.2 5.4 5.4 2.3 3.3 36% 100% 12.0 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brandon Lowe 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.2 —
Jonathan Aranda 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.9 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.6 —
Kameron Misner LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.1 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.6 —
Ben Rortvedt C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
José Caballero SS 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 6.5 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Drew Rasmussen Starter 4.8 4.8 4.3 1.5 2.0 43% 100% 20.0 —