St. Louis Cardinals
59% win
1
pred 3.8
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
41% win
2
pred 4.3
2025-04-09 PNC Park 0°F
Best Bets
St. Louis Cardinals
ML ★ · +7.0% edge
-118 · $100 bet · $85 profit
Model: 59% vs Market: 52%
LOSS
Predictions
St. Louis Cardinals
ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 52%
-118 · $85 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+460 · $460 per $100
LOSS
STL 59% 41% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 86.1% 13.9%
6.5 79.7% 20.3%
7.5 69.5% 30.5%
8.5 61.4% 38.6%
9.5 51.4% 48.6%
10.5 44.2% 55.8%
11.5 34.6% 65.4%
12.5 26.8% 73.2%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversSTL covers
PIT -1.5 30.6% 43.4%
PIT -2.5 22.5% 33.9%
PIT -3.5 15.7% 26.8%
Team Totals
LinePITSTL
O 3.5 63.7% 67.5%
O 4.5 47.7% 57.5%
O 5.5 33.1% 45.5%
O 6.5 23.0% 34.5%
Odds
moneyline STL 59% · -118 · $85 per $100
BookSTLImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings -118 51.7% -102 48.3%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
STL -1.5: STL 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs PIT 4.3 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs STL 3.8 BET ✓
BookSTLPIT
DraftKings -1.5 +142 +1.5 -170
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -118 U 7.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 10.0 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 9.2 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 9.1 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.0 —
Alec Burleson 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.9 —
Pedro Pagés C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Thomas Saggese 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Masyn Winn SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Erick Fedde Starter 4.7 4.3 4.6 2.0 2.6 40% 100% 15.7 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jack Suwinski LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 8.5 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.4 —
Joey Bart C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Endy Rodríguez C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.1 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 6.7 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.5 —
Tsung-Che Cheng SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitch Keller Starter 5.6 5.3 6.5 2.1 3.5 41% 100% 12.9 —