St. Louis Cardinals
42% win
5
pred 3.9
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
58% win
3
pred 3.5
2025-04-08 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Enmanuel Valdez OF 7.1 $2.4k 3.0
Michael Siani OF 5.4 $2.0k 2.7
Endy Rodríguez OF 6.7 $2.5k 2.7
Sonny Gray SP 20.7 $8.5k 2.4
Alec Burleson OF 6.9 $3.0k 2.3
Jack Suwinski OF 7.1 $3.2k 2.2
Jordan Walker OF 6.4 $2.9k 2.2
Adam Frazier OF 6.1 $2.8k 2.2
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 6.1 $3.0k 2.0
Victor Scott II OF 6.1 $3.1k 2.0
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 6.5 $3.4k 1.9
Paul Skenes SP 20.1 $10.5k 1.9
Willson Contreras OF 7.3 $3.9k 1.9
Bryan Reynolds OF 7.6 $4.3k 1.8
Tommy Pham OF 6.2 $3.5k 1.8
Pedro Pagés OF 6.2 $3.5k 1.8
Brendan Donovan OF 6.7 $4.0k 1.7
Nolan Arenado OF 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Masyn Winn OF 6.0 $3.8k 1.6
Oneil Cruz OF 8.0 $5.3k 1.5
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 6.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.5 vs Line 6.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 6.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+400 · $400 per $100
LOSS
STL 42% 58% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 74.0% 26.0%
6.5 65.5% 34.5%
7.5 55.2% 44.8%
8.5 46.2% 53.8%
9.5 36.7% 63.3%
10.5 29.3% 70.7%
11.5 21.7% 78.3%
12.5 16.5% 83.5%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversSTL covers
PIT -1.5 37.3% 34.8%
PIT -2.5 25.6% 24.0%
PIT -3.5 17.7% 17.6%
Team Totals
LinePITSTL
O 3.5 56.3% 53.0%
O 4.5 42.3% 39.9%
O 5.5 30.2% 28.6%
O 6.5 18.3% 21.6%
Odds
moneyline PIT 58% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookSTLImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs STL 3.9 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 3.9 + 1.5 = 5.4 vs PIT 3.5 BET ✓
BookSTLPIT
DraftKings +1.5 -198 -1.5 +164
total Over 6.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 6.5 -118 U 6.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Willson Contreras 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.4 7.3 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.2 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.3 6.1 —
Masyn Winn SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.0 —
Michael Siani OF 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sonny Gray Starter 5.8 6.5 5.3 2.0 2.7 46% 100% 20.7 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.0 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.3 7.6 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Jack Suwinski LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.4 7.1 —
Endy Rodríguez C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.1 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Paul Skenes Starter 5.7 6.2 5.2 1.8 2.3 49% 100% 20.1 —