St. Louis Cardinals
51% win
4
pred 4.1
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
49% win
8
pred 4.5
2025-04-07 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Alexander Canario OF 6.2 $2.0k 3.1
Michael Siani OF 6.5 $2.2k 3.0
Jordan Walker OF 8.2 $2.9k 2.8
Alec Burleson OF 8.6 $3.1k 2.8
Thomas Saggese OF 6.9 $2.5k 2.8
Endy Rodríguez OF 6.5 $2.4k 2.7
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 8.3 $3.5k 2.4
Willson Contreras OF 9.4 $4.0k 2.4
Joey Bart OF 7.5 $3.2k 2.3
Andrew McCutchen OF 8.4 $3.7k 2.3
Brendan Donovan OF 8.7 $4.0k 2.2
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 6.5 $3.0k 2.2
Tommy Pham OF 7.8 $3.8k 2.0
Adam Frazier OF 5.9 $2.9k 2.0
Lars Nootbaar OF 9.3 $4.6k 2.0
Masyn Winn OF 7.1 $3.9k 1.8
Carmen Mlodzinski SP 11.6 $6.5k 1.8
Oneil Cruz OF 7.7 $5.4k 1.4
Matthew Liberatore SP 10.7 $7.8k 1.4
Predictions
St. Louis Cardinals
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+456 · $456 per $100
LOSS
STL 51% 49% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.7% 18.3%
6.5 75.2% 24.8%
7.5 61.5% 38.5%
8.5 53.7% 46.3%
9.5 44.3% 55.7%
10.5 36.8% 63.2%
11.5 27.1% 72.9%
12.5 20.5% 79.5%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversSTL covers
PIT -1.5 35.5% 37.5%
PIT -2.5 26.8% 28.1%
PIT -3.5 17.3% 20.0%
Team Totals
LinePITSTL
O 3.5 62.3% 59.6%
O 4.5 47.3% 46.2%
O 5.5 32.8% 35.1%
O 6.5 22.5% 26.9%
Odds
moneyline STL 51% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookSTLImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings -125 53.3% +105 46.7%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
STL -1.5: STL 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs PIT 4.5 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs STL 4.1 BET ✓
BookSTLPIT
DraftKings -1.5 +136 +1.5 -162
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -118 U 8.0 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 9.4 —
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.3 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
Alec Burleson 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.6 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Masyn Winn SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Yohel Pozo C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
Thomas Saggese 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Michael Siani OF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matthew Liberatore Starter 5.3 5.0 5.3 2.1 2.9 44% 100% 10.7 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.4 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Oneil Cruz CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.5 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.5 —
Endy Rodríguez C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.5 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carmen Mlodzinski Starter 5.3 4.9 5.2 2.1 2.6 46% 100% 11.6 —