New York Yankees
51% win
4
pred 4.2
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
49% win
5
pred 4.7
2025-04-06 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Enmanuel Valdez OF 7.4 $2.5k 2.9
Trent Grisham OF 7.6 $2.7k 2.8
Oswald Peraza OF 6.7 $2.4k 2.8
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 8.1 $3.4k 2.4
Will Warren SP 13.9 $6.0k 2.3
Jared Triolo OF 5.1 $2.2k 2.3
Joey Bart OF 7.7 $3.4k 2.3
Adam Frazier OF 6.1 $2.8k 2.2
Paul Goldschmidt OF 9.7 $4.5k 2.2
Andrew Heaney SP 14.1 $6.7k 2.1
Andrew McCutchen OF 7.5 $3.6k 2.1
Tommy Pham OF 6.9 $3.7k 1.9
Jasson Domínguez OF 7.6 $4.1k 1.8
Bryan Reynolds OF 8.4 $4.6k 1.8
Austin Wells OF 7.4 $4.3k 1.7
Anthony Volpe OF 7.7 $4.6k 1.7
Oneil Cruz OF 8.8 $5.3k 1.7
Cody Bellinger OF 8.5 $5.4k 1.6
Aaron Judge OF 9.5 $6.4k 1.5
Jazz Chisholm Jr. OF 8.4 $5.8k 1.4
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 60%
-166 · $60 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-115 · $87 per $100
WIN
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+472 · $472 per $100
LOSS
NYY 51% 49% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 90.4% 9.6%
6.5 85.2% 14.8%
7.5 76.1% 23.9%
8.5 69.7% 30.3%
9.5 60.8% 39.2%
10.5 51.6% 48.4%
11.5 41.6% 58.4%
12.5 35.6% 64.4%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversNYY covers
PIT -1.5 31.6% 42.7%
PIT -2.5 21.0% 33.8%
PIT -3.5 14.7% 27.1%
Team Totals
LinePITNYY
O 3.5 67.1% 73.8%
O 4.5 53.7% 63.4%
O 5.5 42.7% 51.0%
O 6.5 29.9% 39.9%
Odds
moneyline NYY 51% · -166 · $60 per $100
BookNYYImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings -166 59.9% +140 40.1%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -115 · $87 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs PIT 4.7 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs NYY 4.2 BET ✓
BookNYYPIT
DraftKings -1.5 -105 +1.5 -115
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +100 U 9.0 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.7 —
Aaron Judge RF 1.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.5 —
Cody Bellinger LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.3 1.2 8.4 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.7 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.6 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Oswald Peraza 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Will Warren Starter 5.1 5.4 5.5 2.2 3.1 46% 100% 13.9 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.5 1.1 8.8 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.7 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.9 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 6.1 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 5.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Heaney Starter 5.1 5.3 5.4 2.2 3.3 37% 100% 14.1 —