New York Yankees
54% win
9
pred 3.4
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
46% win
4
pred 4.5
2025-04-04 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Bryan De La Cruz UTIL 8.0 $2.1k 3.8
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 59%
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
New York Yankees ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+456 · $456 per $100
LOSS
NYY 54% 46% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.2% 15.8%
6.5 78.0% 22.0%
7.5 70.4% 29.6%
8.5 62.8% 37.2%
9.5 52.8% 47.2%
10.5 45.0% 55.0%
11.5 36.6% 63.4%
12.5 29.1% 70.9%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversNYY covers
PIT -1.5 24.6% 51.2%
PIT -2.5 16.5% 39.7%
PIT -3.5 10.9% 29.9%
Team Totals
LinePITNYY
O 3.5 58.4% 73.0%
O 4.5 43.1% 62.3%
O 5.5 30.7% 48.5%
O 6.5 21.6% 38.5%
Odds
moneyline NYY 54% · -162 · $62 per $100
BookNYYImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings -162 59.3% +136 40.7%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -125 · $80 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs PIT 4.5 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs NYY 3.4 BET ✗
BookNYYPIT
DraftKings -1.5 +105 +1.5 -125
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.5 1.1 10.6 —
Ben Rice 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 9.3 —
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.3 1.1 8.8 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Austin Wells C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.8 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.6 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Max Fried Starter 5.4 5.5 5.2 2.0 2.5 56% 100% 19.0 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.0 —
Oneil Cruz CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 6.9 —
Joey Bart C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.7 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.5 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.4 —
Endy Rodríguez C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.2 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitch Keller Starter 5.1 5.4 5.4 2.1 3.3 33% 100% 15.4 —