Pittsburgh Pirates
60% win
4
pred 4.4
FINAL
Miami Marlins
40% win
5
pred 4.7
2025-03-29 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Dane Myers OF 8.7 $2.1k 4.1
Eric Wagaman OF 9.3 $2.3k 4.0
Jihwan Bae OF 8.6 $2.2k 3.9
Kyle Stowers OF 8.3 $2.2k 3.8
Otto Lopez OF 9.4 $2.6k 3.6
Jared Triolo OF 7.9 $2.2k 3.6
Jack Suwinski OF 10.4 $2.9k 3.6
Javier Sanoja OF 7.0 $2.1k 3.3
Derek Hill OF 8.1 $2.6k 3.1
Jonah Bride OF 8.9 $2.9k 3.1
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 7.5 $2.5k 3.0
Nick Fortes OF 7.1 $2.5k 2.8
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 8.2 $3.0k 2.7
Joey Bart OF 9.1 $3.4k 2.7
Adam Frazier OF 7.7 $3.0k 2.6
Xavier Edwards OF 8.8 $4.1k 2.2
Bryan Reynolds OF 10.2 $5.0k 2.0
Oneil Cruz OF 10.6 $5.3k 2.0
Bailey Falter SP 11.7 $6.8k 1.7
Valente Bellozo SP 12.4 $7.2k 1.7
Best Bets
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML ★ · +6.5% edge
-125 · $100 bet · $80 profit
Model: 60% vs Market: 53%
LOSS
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+456 · $456 per $100
LOSS
PIT 60% 40% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.1% 15.9%
6.5 78.2% 21.8%
7.5 67.5% 32.5%
8.5 58.4% 41.6%
9.5 48.6% 51.4%
10.5 40.3% 59.7%
11.5 31.6% 68.4%
12.5 26.1% 73.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversPIT covers
MIA -1.5 32.5% 42.3%
MIA -2.5 22.6% 33.5%
MIA -3.5 16.4% 25.1%
Team Totals
LineMIAPIT
O 3.5 60.5% 67.1%
O 4.5 47.2% 54.2%
O 5.5 32.9% 41.4%
O 6.5 22.6% 32.1%
Odds
moneyline PIT 60% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookPITImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -125 53.3% +105 46.7%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs MIA 4.7 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs PIT 4.4 BET ✓
BookPITMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +136 +1.5 -162
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -110 U 8.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 10.6 —
Jack Suwinski LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.4 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.2 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.1 —
Jihwan Bae CF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.2 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.9 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 7.7 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 7.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bailey Falter Starter 5.3 4.6 5.6 1.7 2.9 49% 100% 11.7 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Otto Lopez 2B 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.4 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 9.3 —
Jonah Bride 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Dane Myers CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Derek Hill CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 8.1 —
Nick Fortes C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 7.1 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Valente Bellozo Starter 5.3 4.7 5.3 1.8 3.1 41% 100% 12.4 —