Pittsburgh Pirates
63% win
4
pred 3.9
FINAL
Miami Marlins
37% win
3
pred 4.5
2025-03-28 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Endy Rodríguez OF 7.7 $2.0k 3.9
Kyle Stowers OF 8.3 $2.4k 3.5
Graham Pauley OF 6.3 $2.0k 3.2
Liam Hicks OF 6.5 $2.2k 2.9
Griffin Conine OF 7.7 $2.7k 2.8
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 7.1 $2.5k 2.8
Matt Mervis OF 7.8 $2.9k 2.7
Otto Lopez OF 7.5 $2.8k 2.7
Jonah Bride OF 7.8 $3.1k 2.5
Tommy Pham OF 9.1 $3.6k 2.5
Adam Frazier OF 7.3 $3.0k 2.4
Joey Bart OF 7.9 $3.4k 2.3
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 7.3 $3.2k 2.3
Mitch Keller SP 17.8 $7.9k 2.3
Andrew McCutchen OF 8.5 $3.8k 2.2
Oneil Cruz OF 10.2 $4.8k 2.1
Derek Hill OF 6.1 $2.9k 2.1
Xavier Edwards OF 8.1 $4.0k 2.0
Bryan Reynolds OF 8.6 $4.5k 1.9
Connor Gillispie SP 10.6 $6.3k 1.7
Best Bets
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML ★ · +5.4% edge
-148 · $100 bet · $68 profit
Model: 63% vs Market: 57%
WIN
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+445 · $445 per $100
LOSS
PIT 63% 37% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 76.0% 24.0%
6.5 68.0% 32.0%
7.5 57.1% 42.9%
8.5 49.0% 51.0%
9.5 37.7% 62.3%
10.5 29.3% 70.7%
11.5 22.2% 77.8%
12.5 17.5% 82.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversPIT covers
MIA -1.5 34.7% 37.6%
MIA -2.5 23.0% 28.3%
MIA -3.5 14.7% 20.2%
Team Totals
LineMIAPIT
O 3.5 55.8% 57.3%
O 4.5 40.2% 44.5%
O 5.5 27.6% 32.7%
O 6.5 17.0% 23.7%
Odds
moneyline PIT 63% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookPITImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -148 57.2% +124 42.8%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs MIA 4.5 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs PIT 3.9 BET ✓
BookPITMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +120 +1.5 -142
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -115 U 8.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.2 10.2 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.1 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.6 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.5 —
Joey Bart C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.9 —
Endy Rodríguez C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.3 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitch Keller Starter 5.3 5.6 5.3 1.9 2.7 44% 100% 17.8 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Stowers LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.3 8.3 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Jonah Bride 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.8 —
Griffin Conine LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Otto Lopez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
Liam Hicks C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.5 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.3 —
Derek Hill CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Connor Gillispie Starter 5.4 5.4 4.5 2.6 2.4 47% 100% 10.6 —