Pittsburgh Pirates
58% win
4
pred 3.5
FINAL
Miami Marlins
42% win
5
pred 4.9
2025-03-27 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Endy Rodríguez OF 8.1 $2.0k 4.0
Kyle Stowers OF 7.2 $2.4k 3.0
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 7.1 $2.5k 2.9
Graham Pauley OF 5.4 $2.0k 2.7
Tommy Pham OF 9.2 $3.6k 2.6
Jonah Bride OF 7.0 $2.9k 2.4
Paul Skenes SP 23.9 $10.0k 2.4
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 7.4 $3.2k 2.3
Joey Bart OF 8.2 $3.6k 2.3
Griffin Conine OF 6.3 $2.8k 2.3
Andrew McCutchen OF 8.9 $4.0k 2.2
Otto Lopez OF 6.2 $2.8k 2.2
Matt Mervis OF 6.7 $3.1k 2.2
Nick Fortes OF 5.5 $2.6k 2.1
Nick Gonzales OF 7.4 $3.5k 2.1
Oneil Cruz OF 9.5 $4.8k 2.0
Sandy Alcantara SP 14.7 $7.7k 1.9
Bryan Reynolds OF 8.6 $4.5k 1.9
Derek Hill OF 5.4 $2.9k 1.9
Xavier Edwards OF 6.7 $4.0k 1.7
Best Bets
OVER 6.5
TOTAL ★ · +1.9 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 8.4 vs Line: 6.5
WIN
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.9 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
OVER 6.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 6.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 6.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+436 · $436 per $100
LOSS
PIT 58% 42% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 89.2% 10.8%
6.5 85.1% 14.9%
7.5 77.2% 22.8%
8.5 70.3% 29.7%
9.5 63.2% 36.8%
10.5 54.3% 45.7%
11.5 45.2% 54.8%
12.5 40.1% 59.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversPIT covers
MIA -1.5 26.9% 52.1%
MIA -2.5 19.3% 44.3%
MIA -3.5 13.5% 35.8%
Team Totals
LineMIAPIT
O 3.5 61.2% 77.7%
O 4.5 49.3% 67.9%
O 5.5 38.6% 57.1%
O 6.5 29.7% 49.0%
Odds
moneyline PIT 58% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookPITImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -148 57.2% +124 42.8%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs MIA 4.9 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs PIT 3.5 BET ✓
BookPITMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
total Over 6.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 6.5 -105 U 6.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.0 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 9.5 —
Tommy Pham LF 1.0 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.2 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Joey Bart C 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.2 —
Endy Rodríguez C 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 7.4 —
Nick Gonzales 2B 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 7.4 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.8 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Paul Skenes Starter 8.8 10.3 9.3 3.3 5.0 62% 100% 23.9 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.5 7.2 —
Jonah Bride 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.0 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.3 6.7 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.1 6.7 —
Griffin Conine LF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.3 6.3 —
Otto Lopez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.2 —
Nick Fortes C 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.5 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.4 5.4 —
Derek Hill CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.2 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sandy Alcantara Starter 9.1 8.9 11.7 4.0 7.0 38% 100% 14.7 —