Pittsburgh Pirates
35% win
0
pred 5.2
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
65% win
7
pred 3.6
2025-04-01 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jake Mangum UTIL 24.0 $2.5k 9.6
Brandon Lowe UTIL 28.0 $4.5k 6.2
Shane Baz UTIL 33.3 $8.0k 4.2
Jonny DeLuca UTIL 10.0 $3.1k 3.2
Kameron Misner UTIL 7.0 $2.6k 2.7
Yandy Díaz UTIL 9.0 $4.5k 2.0
Ke'Bryan Hayes UTIL 6.0 $3.1k 1.9
Mason Montgomery UTIL 7.7 $4.0k 1.9
Jared Triolo UTIL 3.0 $2.1k 1.4
Justin Lawrence UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 6.0 $5.2k 1.2
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 3.0 $2.7k 1.1
Mason Englert UTIL 7.9 $7.1k 1.1
Junior Caminero UTIL 5.0 $5.1k 1.0
Joey Bart UTIL 3.0 $3.7k 0.8
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Taylor Walls UTIL 2.0 $3.0k 0.7
Danny Jansen UTIL 2.0 $3.4k 0.6
Oneil Cruz UTIL 3.0 $5.4k 0.6
Curtis Mead UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
Joey Wentz UTIL 2.3 $6.3k 0.4
Caleb Ferguson UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 65% vs Mkt 61%
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 3.1 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+411 · $411 per $100
LOSS
PIT 35% 65% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 73.8% 26.2%
6.5 63.8% 36.2%
7.5 53.1% 46.9%
8.5 45.2% 54.8%
9.5 35.7% 64.3%
10.5 29.4% 70.6%
11.5 22.1% 77.9%
12.5 16.4% 83.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversPIT covers
TB -1.5 31.9% 38.6%
TB -2.5 21.3% 27.7%
TB -3.5 14.5% 19.6%
Team Totals
LineTBPIT
O 3.5 53.0% 57.0%
O 4.5 37.9% 42.7%
O 5.5 25.9% 31.5%
O 6.5 18.2% 21.7%
Odds
moneyline TB 65% · -175 · $57 per $100
BookPITImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings +145 39.1% -175 60.9%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs PIT 5.2 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs TB 3.6 BET ✗
BookPITTB
DraftKings +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +100 U 9.0 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.0 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.6 —
Jack Suwinski LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 8.6 —
Enmanuel Valdez 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.0 —
Joey Bart C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Thomas Harrington Starter 5.5 5.6 4.8 1.8 2.4 49% 100% 6.8 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.8 10.9 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.9 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 10.7 —
Jake Mangum LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 10.6 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.3 10.2 —
Curtis Mead 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.9 —
Danny Jansen C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.4 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Jonny DeLuca CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shane Baz Starter 5.5 5.6 4.9 2.0 2.6 43% 100% 18.5 —