Pittsburgh Pirates
31% win
1
pred 4.8
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
69% win
6
pred 4
2025-03-31 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jake Mangum UTIL 30.0 $2.5k 12.0
Jonathan Aranda UTIL 12.0 $2.9k 4.1
Kameron Misner UTIL 9.0 $2.4k 3.8
José Caballero UTIL 11.0 $3.3k 3.3
Endy Rodríguez UTIL 7.0 $2.3k 3.0
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 8.0 $2.7k 3.0
Drew Rasmussen UTIL 22.1 $8.5k 2.6
Ryan Borucki UTIL 9.2 $4.0k 2.3
Hunter Bigge UTIL 8.5 $4.0k 2.1
Christopher Morel UTIL 7.0 $3.8k 1.8
Adam Frazier UTIL 5.0 $2.9k 1.7
Manuel Rodríguez UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Oneil Cruz UTIL 8.0 $5.3k 1.5
Danny Jansen UTIL 4.0 $3.3k 1.2
Tim Mayza UTIL 4.0 $4.0k 1.0
Junior Caminero UTIL 5.0 $5.2k 1.0
Mason Englert UTIL 3.1 $6.6k 0.5
Carmen Mlodzinski UTIL 2.9 $6.3k 0.5
Brandon Lowe UTIL 2.0 $4.4k 0.5
Yandy Díaz UTIL 2.0 $4.6k 0.4
Joey Wentz UTIL 1.1 $6.4k 0.2
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 69% vs Mkt 64%
-205 · $49 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+403 · $403 per $100
LOSS
PIT 31% 69% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 76.0% 24.0%
6.5 67.0% 33.0%
7.5 55.2% 44.8%
8.5 46.5% 53.5%
9.5 36.2% 63.8%
10.5 29.5% 70.5%
11.5 23.1% 76.9%
12.5 18.4% 81.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversPIT covers
TB -1.5 38.3% 33.8%
TB -2.5 27.5% 24.4%
TB -3.5 18.7% 18.2%
Team Totals
LineTBPIT
O 3.5 57.6% 56.8%
O 4.5 43.3% 42.5%
O 5.5 32.0% 27.7%
O 6.5 22.6% 19.3%
Odds
moneyline TB 69% · -205 · $49 per $100
BookPITImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings +170 35.5% -205 64.5%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -130 · $77 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs PIT 4.8 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs TB 4.0 BET ✗
BookPITTB
DraftKings +1.5 -130 -1.5 +110
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -110 U 8.0 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.6 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.2 —
Jack Suwinski LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.2 —
Tommy Pham LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.9 —
Joey Bart C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
Endy Rodríguez C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 5.8 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.5 —
Adam Frazier 2B 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carmen Mlodzinski Starter 5.4 5.7 4.9 2.1 2.5 45% 100% 15.7 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brandon Lowe 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.5 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.1 —
Jonathan Aranda 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Junior Caminero 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.1 —
Jake Mangum LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Danny Jansen C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 6.2 —
José Caballero SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Drew Rasmussen Starter 5.4 5.5 5.2 1.8 2.5 46% 100% 21.9 —